In the ever-evolving landscape of global aviation, 2024 promises a mix of novelties and challenges, according to insights from the OAG statistics platform. Navigating the skies may pose challenges, but it also unveils opportunities and innovations that will shape the future of air travel, as highlighted by OAG.
Regarding flight prices, demand, engines, and regulations, OAG anticipates a continuation of the status quo in flight prices with minor fluctuations in 2024. While off-peak seasons may offer some relief due to decreased demand, underlying factors such as rising wages and fluctuating oil prices suggest an upward trend rather than cost savings.
"Keep an eye on routes with additional capacity, especially in the transatlantic sector, as traditional airlines, led by United Airlines, open new routes, potentially influencing fare dynamics," advises OAG.
The platform also acknowledges that 2024 won't be without challenges, with persisting disruptions from the previous year and global issues impacting the aviation industry. OAG forecasts that the Pratt & Whitney engine issue will peak in 2024, potentially grounding up to 300 aircraft worldwide at any given time. Carriers like Lufthansa, IndiGo, Delta Air Lines, Wizzair, and Virgin Atlantic may experience disruptions, but some airlines could find opportunities amid engine challenges by applying higher fares due to reduced capacity.
Recent issues with pending Boeing orders add another disruption for airlines, uncertain about the arrival of their new planes next year, complicating planning for some.
While business travel is recovering post-COVID-19, short-distance trips may lag as video calls and conferences prove more cost-effective and time-efficient for many professionals. In Europe, new regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions hinder short-haul flights, with France, for instance, banning flights that can be replaced by a four-hour train journey from Paris.
Looking ahead, technological advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), will take center stage in 2024.
Drones and eVTOLs may be on the horizon, but AI applications are poised to revolutionize the aviation landscape. "Expect transformative changes with AI, from optimizing operations to enhancing passenger experiences. AI will continue to be a driving force behind industry advancements," notes the OAG platform.
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